Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 6.713943 7.769519 8.899434 10.194695 11.634107 13.180316 14.962418
2025-05-04 5.562759 7.071978 8.803895 10.920673 13.419434 16.256453 19.701301
2025-05-11 4.450471 6.189723 8.319976 11.079125 14.513240 18.600543 23.782927
2025-05-18 3.468264 5.273885 7.630263 10.853967 15.065722 20.294260 27.178848
2025-05-25 2.736936 4.541174 7.043327 10.645169 15.562258 21.898214 30.518865
2025-06-01 2.230426 4.021519 6.650646 10.614381 16.240487 23.728706 34.206329
2025-06-08 1.817547 3.559650 6.262697 10.521058 16.788372 25.380414 37.709028
2025-06-15 1.626581 3.413852 6.316314 11.053147 18.226476 28.288729 43.007918
2025-06-22 1.371019 3.107465 6.071379 11.094561 18.933031 30.192625 46.991722
2025-06-29 1.087132 2.689961 5.582599 10.691426 18.924050 31.050487 49.519927
2025-07-06 0.851872 2.311720 5.101987 10.238538 18.782310 31.677538 51.710416
2025-07-13 0.777255 2.249133 5.174826 10.711973 20.116049 34.536316 57.225516
2025-07-20 0.747376 2.285058 5.444444 11.563286 22.134929 38.556147 64.661500
2025-07-27 0.693706 2.255743 5.584601 12.195266 23.829106 42.150797 71.597526
2025-08-03 0.592465 2.087675 5.426859 12.270640 24.593923 44.333283 76.485409
2025-08-10 0.476459 1.849048 5.087902 11.971724 24.693472 45.462335 79.798055
2025-08-17 0.384003 1.645215 4.789801 11.715169 24.838008 46.653010 83.227835
2025-08-24 0.320143 1.504161 4.608134 11.664248 25.332042 48.413335 87.582444
2025-08-31 0.263408 1.365282 4.408509 11.553617 25.702896 49.974324 91.658501
2025-09-07 0.246624 1.358796 4.529685 12.120192 27.349754 53.716159 99.316309
2025-09-14 0.209034 1.262542 4.410450 12.161251 28.008494 55.808001 104.367483
2025-09-21 0.160385 1.099654 4.088628 11.725817 27.727364 56.276484 106.782550
2025-09-28 0.119891 0.946472 3.761012 11.237509 27.303025 56.465956 108.726233